Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.506562 0.562114 0.622024 0.691568 0.770235 0.856645 0.958996
2025-05-25 0.407294 0.481486 0.567552 0.675309 0.807359 0.964854 1.168331
2025-06-01 0.362314 0.446812 0.549768 0.685535 0.861464 1.083927 1.390019
2025-06-08 0.323711 0.412679 0.525372 0.680273 0.890287 1.168914 1.572953
2025-06-15 0.297787 0.390637 0.512263 0.685624 0.930257 1.269058 1.784311
2025-06-22 0.271179 0.364447 0.490163 0.675022 0.945081 1.333423 1.949463
2025-06-29 0.250129 0.343563 0.472795 0.668299 0.963151 1.402185 2.126727
2025-07-06 0.225661 0.315665 0.442886 0.640030 0.945542 1.414292 2.214897
2025-07-13 0.214693 0.306125 0.438351 0.648534 0.983823 1.515103 2.456949
2025-07-20 0.204636 0.297016 0.433484 0.655648 1.019877 1.614978 2.708411
2025-07-27 0.195504 0.288523 0.428710 0.662136 1.054921 1.715828 2.972979
2025-08-03 0.186607 0.279691 0.422619 0.665703 1.084923 1.810320 3.236811
2025-08-10 0.179158 0.272779 0.419284 0.673915 1.124309 1.926585 3.560134
2025-08-17 0.167524 0.258462 0.403068 0.659064 1.121767 1.966775 3.740029
2025-08-24 0.161806 0.253300 0.401386 0.668948 1.164354 2.094768 4.115084
2025-08-31 0.153771 0.243781 0.391723 0.663836 1.178464 2.169216 4.387146
2025-09-07 0.148228 0.238052 0.388039 0.669038 1.212282 2.285514 4.766398
2025-09-14 0.140492 0.228127 0.376443 0.658731 1.214904 2.338581 5.009895
2025-09-21 0.133954 0.219884 0.367265 0.652195 1.224270 2.406320 5.297018
2025-09-28 0.124641 0.206306 0.347812 0.624707 1.188836 2.375012 5.340796
2025-10-05 0.121340 0.203152 0.346922 0.632976 1.227706 2.509076 5.814134
2025-10-12 0.118037 0.199798 0.345433 0.639894 1.264250 2.641786 6.305194
2025-10-19 0.114839 0.196450 0.343730 0.646203 1.299962 2.776392 6.823366